Nigma Galaxy vs MOUZ
Model 64% vs Polymarket 50%. Edge +14 points, EV +$29 per $100 if the model is right.
Confidence: Medium
Open marketLoL Value Picks
We rate every team with an Elo model built from match history, then compare it to Polymarket's live prices. When the two disagree, that gap is potential value. This is a model, not a guarantee. See how it works and our track record. 18+, not financial advice.
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+14Top edge
2Value markets
4Rated markets
0Bookmaker matches
Near-edge watchlist
- Anyone's Legend+6 edge56% model / 50% market
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Nigma Galaxy vs MOUZValue +14
Our model64%
Polymarket50%
+14Edge
+$29EV / $100
7.2%Stake (¼ Kelly)
mediumConfidence
Our model rates Nigma Galaxy above the market price. Every $100 staked here is worth about +$29 on average if the model is right. The stake figure is a quarter-Kelly guide, not an instruction.
Trade this market on PolymarketAnyone's Legend vs Weibo GamingValue +14
Our model67%
Polymarket53%
+14Edge
+$27EV / $100
7.4%Stake (¼ Kelly)
mediumConfidence
Our model rates Anyone's Legend above the market price. Every $100 staked here is worth about +$27 on average if the model is right. The stake figure is a quarter-Kelly guide, not an instruction.
Trade this market on PolymarketMarket movers
Open value boardWhat changed on the board?
Biggest live Polymarket probability moves since Jun 18, 05:32 AM UTC.
No LoL market has moved enough to flag yet. This board updates as live prices drift from the saved snapshot.
Value calculator
Have your own read on a match? Plug in the market price, your win estimate, and a stake to see the expected value. Positive EV means the price is in your favour over the long run. More tools on the tools page.
+$8.00Expected value
$50.00Profit if it wins
-$50.00Loss if it loses
Positive expected value: if your estimate is right, this bet pays over the long run. Variance is still high on a single match.
Model: Elo from Leaguepedia match history (1929 matches, 412 rated teams). Prices from the public Polymarket Gamma API, refreshed live. Edges are model views, not promises. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
Esports schedule, standings and results data from Leaguepedia, available under CC BY-SA 3.0. Odds from the public Polymarket Gamma API.