Bet candidate+29 edge
Eintracht Spandau vs BIG
59% model30% market
Model edge is live. Check the market rules and stake size before acting.
- Model is 29 points above the market.
- EV is +$100 per $100 if the model is right.
LoL Value Picks
We rate every team with an Elo model built from match history, then compare it to Polymarket's live prices. When the two disagree, that gap is potential value. This is a model, not a guarantee. See how it works and our track record. 18+, not financial advice.
Match Edge Command Center
What should you do with today's board?
Every card combines model probability, live market price, bookmaker gaps, market movement, and fan sentiment into one plain decision.
Sentiment limitedFan sentiment unavailable
6bet candidates
0sharp moves
0watchlist
0book gaps
Bet candidate+26 edge
JD Gaming vs Gen.G
50% model24% market
Model edge is live. Check the market rules and stake size before acting.
- Model is 26 points above the market.
- EV is +$112 per $100 if the model is right.
Bet candidate+20 edge
Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming
48% model28% market
Model edge is live. Check the market rules and stake size before acting.
- Model is 20 points above the market.
- EV is +$70 per $100 if the model is right.
Bet candidate+14 edge
Anyone's Legend vs Weibo Gaming
67% model53% market
Model edge is live. Check the market rules and stake size before acting.
- Model is 14 points above the market.
- EV is +$27 per $100 if the model is right.
Value terminal
Today's LoL betting board
Model edge, live market price, bookmaker coverage, and watchlist spots in one scan.
Value live
+29Top edge
9Value markets
13Rated markets
0Bookmaker matches
Eintracht Spandau vs BIG
Model 59% vs Polymarket 30%. Edge +29 points, EV +$100 per $100 if the model is right.
Confidence: Low
Open marketNear-edge watchlist
- Anyone's Legend+6 edge56% model / 50% market
Fan sentimentSource limited
Fan sentiment unavailable
Live social sentiment could not be loaded.
Social sentiment will appear here once the live X scan returns enough signal.
Eintracht Spandau vs BIGValue +29
Our model59%
Polymarket30%
+29Edge
+$100EV / $100
10.0%Stake (¼ Kelly)
lowConfidence
Our model rates Eintracht Spandau above the market price. Every $100 staked here is worth about +$100 on average if the model is right. The stake figure is a quarter-Kelly guide, not an instruction.
Trade this market on PolymarketJD Gaming vs Gen.GValue +26
Our model50%
Polymarket24%
+26Edge
+$112EV / $100
8.6%Stake (¼ Kelly)
lowConfidence
Our model rates JD Gaming above the market price. Every $100 staked here is worth about +$112 on average if the model is right. The stake figure is a quarter-Kelly guide, not an instruction.
Trade this market on PolymarketDplus KIA vs Bilibili GamingValue +20
Our model48%
Polymarket28%
+20Edge
+$70EV / $100
6.9%Stake (¼ Kelly)
lowConfidence
Our model rates Dplus KIA above the market price. Every $100 staked here is worth about +$70 on average if the model is right. The stake figure is a quarter-Kelly guide, not an instruction.
Trade this market on PolymarketAnyone's Legend vs Weibo GamingValue +14
Our model67%
Polymarket53%
+14Edge
+$27EV / $100
7.4%Stake (¼ Kelly)
mediumConfidence
Our model rates Anyone's Legend above the market price. Every $100 staked here is worth about +$27 on average if the model is right. The stake figure is a quarter-Kelly guide, not an instruction.
Trade this market on PolymarketHanwha Life Esports vs T1Value +11
Our model50%
Polymarket39%
+11Edge
+$30EV / $100
4.7%Stake (¼ Kelly)
lowConfidence
Our model rates Hanwha Life Esports above the market price. Every $100 staked here is worth about +$30 on average if the model is right. The stake figure is a quarter-Kelly guide, not an instruction.
Trade this market on PolymarketKarmine Corp vs Anyone's LegendValue +11
Our model38%
Polymarket28%
+11Edge
+$39EV / $100
3.7%Stake (¼ Kelly)
mediumConfidence
Our model rates Karmine Corp above the market price. Every $100 staked here is worth about +$39 on average if the model is right. The stake figure is a quarter-Kelly guide, not an instruction.
Trade this market on PolymarketT1 vs Hanwha Life EsportsValue +11
Our model50%
Polymarket40%
+11Edge
+$27EV / $100
4.3%Stake (¼ Kelly)
lowConfidence
Our model rates T1 above the market price. Every $100 staked here is worth about +$27 on average if the model is right. The stake figure is a quarter-Kelly guide, not an instruction.
Trade this market on PolymarketROSSMANN Centaurs vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy EditionValue +10
Our model44%
Polymarket35%
+10Edge
+$28EV / $100
3.6%Stake (¼ Kelly)
mediumConfidence
Our model rates ROSSMANN Centaurs above the market price. Every $100 staked here is worth about +$28 on average if the model is right. The stake figure is a quarter-Kelly guide, not an instruction.
Trade this market on PolymarketMarket movers
Open value boardWhat changed on the board?
Biggest live Polymarket probability moves since Jun 22, 05:33 AM UTC.
No LoL market has moved enough to flag yet. This board updates as live prices drift from the saved snapshot.
Value calculator
Have your own read on a match? Plug in the market price, your win estimate, and a stake to see the expected value. Positive EV means the price is in your favour over the long run. More tools on the tools page.
+$8.00Expected value
$50.00Profit if it wins
-$50.00Loss if it loses
Positive expected value: if your estimate is right, this bet pays over the long run. Variance is still high on a single match.
Model: Elo from Leaguepedia match history (1929 matches, 412 rated teams). Prices from the public Polymarket Gamma API, refreshed live. Edges are model views, not promises. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
Esports schedule, standings and results data from Leaguepedia, available under CC BY-SA 3.0. Odds from the public Polymarket Gamma API.