We rate every team with an Elo model built from match history, then compare it to Polymarket's live prices. When the two disagree, that gap is potential value. This is a model, not a guarantee. See how it works and our track record. 18+, not financial advice.
Every card combines model probability, live market price, bookmaker gaps, market movement, and fan sentiment into one plain decision.
Model edge is live. Check the market rules and stake size before acting.
Model edge is live. Check the market rules and stake size before acting.
Close to value. Add it to your watchlist and wait for a better entry.
Model edge, live market price, bookmaker coverage, and watchlist spots in one scan.
Model 61% vs Polymarket 33%. Edge +29 points, EV +$89 per $100 if the model is right.
Live social sentiment could not be loaded.
Best price: Polymarket (33%)
Our model rates T1 above the market price. Every $100 staked here is worth about +$89 on average if the model is right. The stake figure is a quarter-Kelly guide, not an instruction.
Trade this market on PolymarketOur model rates Anyone's Legend above the market price. Every $100 staked here is worth about +$27 on average if the model is right. The stake figure is a quarter-Kelly guide, not an instruction.
Trade this market on PolymarketBiggest live Polymarket probability moves since Jun 22, 05:33 AM UTC.
No LoL market has moved enough to flag yet. This board updates as live prices drift from the saved snapshot.
Have your own read on a match? Plug in the market price, your win estimate, and a stake to see the expected value. Positive EV means the price is in your favour over the long run. More tools on the tools page.
Positive expected value: if your estimate is right, this bet pays over the long run. Variance is still high on a single match.
Model: Elo from Leaguepedia match history (1929 matches, 412 rated teams). Prices from the public Polymarket Gamma API, refreshed live. Edges are model views, not promises. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
Esports schedule, standings and results data from Leaguepedia, available under CC BY-SA 3.0. Odds from the public Polymarket Gamma API.